Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.