Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 41.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 29.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.