Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.