Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 54.65% ( | 23.5% ( | 21.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( | 47.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( | 69.77% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( | 17.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( | 47.62% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.9% ( | 36.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.12% ( | 72.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 3-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 54.65% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 21.85% |