Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 27.36% ( | 27.8% ( | 44.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.36% ( | 59.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.03% ( | 79.97% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.14% ( | 37.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.37% ( | 74.63% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( | 26.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( | 61.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-1 @ 2.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 3-2 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 27.36% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.17% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 13.32% ( 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 44.83% |