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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Atletico

Alvaro (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gimenez (78')

The Match

Match Report

Alvaro Rodriguez scores a late leveller for Real Madrid, with the La Liga champions coming from behind to draw 1-1 with 10-man Atletico Madrid in the Madrid derby.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 2-5 Real Madrid
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
60.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)21.37% (0.0040000000000013 0)17.99% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)43.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.94% (0.0049999999999955 0)66.06%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.06% (0.00099999999999056 0)13.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01)74.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 60.64%
    Atletico Madrid 17.99%
    Draw 21.37%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.54%
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 60.64%
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.28%
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.37%
0-1 @ 5.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.99%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Atletico

Real Madrid
81.8%
Draw
7.2%
Atletico Madrid
11.0%
209
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Real Madrid
3-1
Atletico
Rodrygo (79'), Benzema (103'), Junior (120+1')
Ceballos (69'), Junior (97')
Morata (19')
De Paul (44'), Mandava (54'), Hermoso (62'), Savic (97'), Koke (105+2')
Savic (99')
Sep 18, 2022 8pm
May 8, 2022 8pm
Atletico
1-0
Real Madrid
Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Benzema (16'), Asensio (57')
Mendy (45+1'), Alaba (88')

Felipe (36'), Kondogbia (75'), Suarez (88')
Mar 7, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Suarez (15')
Carrasco (64'), Correa (72'), Felix (80'), Savic (90'), Llorente (90+2')
Benzema (88')
Varane (67')