Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 60.64% ( | 21.37% ( | 17.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% ( | 43.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( | 66.06% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( | 13.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.58% ( | 41.42% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( | 37.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% ( | 74.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 3-1 @ 6.54% 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 5-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.92% Total : 60.64% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 5.28% 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.37% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.99% |