La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Alvaro 85' goal
  • goal Jose Gimenez 78'

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 8.00pm
Osasuna 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 19, 2023 5.30pm
Atletico 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid 60.64% (-0.01)
Draw 21.37% (+0.01)
Atletico Madrid 17.99% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.34% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.67%
Over 3.5 33.94% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.06%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 86.06% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 13.94% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 58.58% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.42% (+0.01)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 62.11% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 37.89% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.34% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.66% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 60.64%
Draw 21.37%
Atletico Madrid 17.99%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 10.41%
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54%
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 60.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1%
0-0 @ 5.28%
2-2 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.37%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 5.13% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.9% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.99%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Jan 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Rodrygo 79' goal
  • Karim Benzema 103' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 120'+1' goal
  • goal Alvaro Morata 19'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 18, 2022 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Mario Hermoso 83' goal
  • goal Rodrygo 18'
  • goal Federico Valverde 36'
La Liga Gameweek 35
May 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcos Llorente 37' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 40' goal
  • Stefan Savic 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 20'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 28'
  • yellowcard Jesus Vallejo 38'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 67'
  • yellowcard Nacho 71'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karim Benzema 16' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 57' goal
  • David Alaba 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe 36'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 75'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 88'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2021 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Suarez 15' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 64' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 72' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 80' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 90' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 67'
  • goal Karim Benzema 88'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Dec 12, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Casemiro 15' goal
  • Casemiro 36' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 63' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 46'
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 50'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 61'

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