La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico1 - 0Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, February 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
This is a tough match for Atletico, and Athletic will fancy their chances of picking up a positive result in Sunday's affair. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a draw in Madrid, but we just have a feeling that Atletico will have enough quality to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
49.22% ( -0.69) | 26.24% ( -0.12) | 24.54% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 47.76% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
