La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Antoine Griezmann 73' goal

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 8.00pm
Valencia 1 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Inaki Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result

Atletico Madrid 49.22% (-0.70)
Draw 26.24% (-0.12)
Athletic Bilbao 24.54% (+0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.76% (+1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.18% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 55.82% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 23.06% (+0.84)
Under 3.5 76.95% (-0.84)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 77.27% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 22.73% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 43.6% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 56.4% (-0.20)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 61.81% (+1.33)
Under 0.5 38.19% (-1.33)
Over 1.5 25.05% (+1.26)
Under 1.5 74.95% (-1.26)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 49.23%
Draw 26.23%
Athletic Bilbao 24.54%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.48)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.32)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.53% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.23%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.96% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.02% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.91% (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.42% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.09)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.54%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 47'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mario Hermoso 8' goal
  • Dani Garcia 25' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 56' goal
  • Inaki Williams 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 1'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 18'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 71'
Supercopa de Espana
Jan 13, 2022 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Giuliano Simeone 62' goal
  • Sime Vrsaljko 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Yeray Alvarez 77'
  • goal Nico Williams 81'
  • yellowcard Inigo Martinez 83'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 90'
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 90'+1'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 36' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 78' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 78' redcard
  • Stefan Savic 79' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 90' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Garcia 30'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Williams Arthuer 82'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alex Berenguer 8' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 44' yellowcard
  • Unai Vencedor 61' yellowcard
  • Dani Garcia 66' yellowcard
  • Inigo Martinez 86' goal
  • Unai Lopez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 11'
  • goal Stefan Savic 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Torreira 81'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Mar 10, 2021 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Felipe 43' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 45'+2' goal
  • Luis Suarez 51' goal
  • Renan Lodi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Iker Muniain 21'
  • yellowcard Oscar de Marcos 38'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 41'