La Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico1 - 1Getafe
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Getafe
Atletico have been utterly dominant in this fixture in recent years, and it is therefore very difficult to back against a home win. Getafe's recent form has also played a major role in this prediction, and we are ultimately backing Atletico to collect all three points in comfortable fashion this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 9.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.31%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
71.74% ( 0.93) | 18.99% ( -0.51) | 9.27% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 37.28% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
