Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Betis in this match.