La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-0)

Depay (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 3-4 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Atletico Madrid
23.3% ( -0.1)	26.2% ( 0.17)	50.5% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.34% (

-0.69)

56.65% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-0.56)

77.62% (

0.56)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18% (

-0.48)

39.81% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.52% (

-0.44)

76.48% (

0.44)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

-0.33)

22.51% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.92% (

-0.49)

56.08% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 23.3%

Atletico Madrid 50.5%

Draw 26.19%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.3%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.5%