Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.3% ( -0.1) | 26.2% ( 0.17) | 50.5% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( -0.69) | 56.65% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( -0.56) | 77.62% ( 0.56) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.18% ( -0.48) | 39.81% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.52% ( -0.44) | 76.48% ( 0.44) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.33) | 22.51% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( -0.49) | 56.08% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |