Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.3% ( -0.1) | 26.2% ( 0.17) | 50.5% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( -0.69) | 56.65% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( -0.56) | 77.62% ( 0.56) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.18% ( -0.48) | 39.81% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.52% ( -0.44) | 76.48% ( 0.44) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.33) | 22.51% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( -0.49) | 56.08% ( 0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 9.96% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |