La Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • goal Federico Valverde 78'
  • goal Marco Asensio 90'+2'

Osasuna vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2023 5.30pm
Valladolid 0 - 0 Osasuna
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2023 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Elche
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Karim Benzema

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Osasuna 19.53% (-0.08)
Draw 21.92% (-0.06)
Real Madrid 58.55% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.45% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.29% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 43.71% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 33.9% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 66.1% (-0.13)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5 63.77%
Under 0.5 36.23%
Over 1.5 26.99%
Under 1.5 73.01%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 85.39% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 14.61% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 57.28% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 42.72% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Osasuna 19.53%
Draw 21.91%
Real Madrid 58.55%
Osasuna
1-0 @ 5.38% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.25% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 19.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.91%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 10.18% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.79% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.37% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 6.28% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 58.55%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • goal Kike 50'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ante Budimir 13' goal
  • Darko Brasanac 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 5'
  • goal David Alaba 12'
  • goal Marco Asensio 45'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 60'
  • yellowcard Nacho 62'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2021 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eduardo Camavinga 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Unai Garcia 15'
La Liga Gameweek 34
May 1, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eder Militao 76' goal
  • Casemiro 80' goal
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 54'
  • yellowcard Oier Sanjurjo 55'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 9, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2020 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Unai Garcia 14' goal
  • Nacho Vidal 57' yellowcard
  • David Garcia 69' yellowcard
  • goal Isco 33'
  • goal Sergio Ramos 38'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 73'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 79'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 84'
  • goal Luka Jovic 92'