Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 39.2% ( | 27.44% ( | 33.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( | 56.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( | 77.38% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( | 28.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.33% ( | 63.67% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( | 31.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( | 68.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.36% |