Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 59.17% ( | 23.16% ( | 17.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.38% ( | 51.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% ( | 73.4% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( | 17.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% ( | 47.36% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.04% ( | 42.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.74% ( | 79.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 5-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 59.16% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.09% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 17.67% |