Club World Cup
Real Madrid
Feb 11, 2023 7.00pm
5
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Al-Hilal
  • Vinicius Junior 13' goal
  • Federico Valverde 18' goal
  • Karim Benzema 54' goal
  • Federico Valverde 58' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 69' goal
  • goal Moussa Marega 26'
  • goal Luciano Vietto 63'
  • goal Luciano Vietto 79'

Real Madrid vs Al-Hilal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Al-Hilal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Al-Hilal win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 66.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 18.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Al-Hilal 15.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.32% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 62% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 38% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 39.74% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 60.26% ▼ (-0.14)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 89.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 10.72% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 65.34% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 34.66% ▼ (-0.11)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 61.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 25.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.8% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 66.02%
Draw 18.94%
Al-Hilal 15.04%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 10.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 66.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.94%
Al-Hilal
1-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 15.04%

Form Data

Al Ahly 1 - 4 Real Madrid
Mallorca 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Valencia
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Real Sociedad
Real Madrid 3 - 1 Atletico
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Flamengo 2 - 3 Al-Hilal
Wydad 1 - 1 Al-Hilal
Al-Hilal 0 - 5 Newcastle
Al-Hilal 0 - 2 Al-Rayyan
Sharjah 2 - 2 Al-Hilal
Istiqlol Dushanbe 0 - 3 Al-Hilal

Build-up

News
News