Istiqlol Dushanbe
0 - 3
Al-Hilal

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ighalo (8', 33'), Al-Dawsari (90+2')
Al-Dawsari (18')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Hilal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istiqlol Dushanbe

Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 2-0 Sharjah
Wednesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

Al-Hilal

Last Game: Al-Hilal 0-2 Al-Rayyan
Wednesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League

Next Game: Al-Hilal vs. Shabab Al-Ahli
Thursday, February 2 at 11pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 1-0 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Istiqlol Dushanbe	Draw	Al-Hilal
22.77%	23.75%	53.46%

Both teams to score 53.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.37%

47.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.17%

69.82%

Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.73%

35.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.98%

72.01%

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25%

17.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57%

48.42%

Score Analysis

Istiqlol Dushanbe 22.77%

Al-Hilal 53.46%

Draw 23.75%

Istiqlol Dushanbe	Draw	Al-Hilal
1-0 @ 6.52% 2-1 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.99% Total : 22.77%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-3 @ 5.39% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 2.33% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.58% Total : 53.46%