AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Sharjah Stadium

Sharjah
2 - 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe

Caio (54'), Bernard (57')
Caio (33'), Ibrahim Surour (58'), Ibrahim (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dzhalilov (29')
Rahimov (69')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Sharjah FC and Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 2-0 Sharjah
Wednesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 2-0 Sharjah
Wednesday, April 27 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sharjah FC win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sharjah FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sharjah FC in this match.

Result
Sharjah FCDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
58.54%21.79%19.68%
Both teams to score 55.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08%42.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68%65.32%
Sharjah FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65%14.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78%42.22%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38%35.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61%72.39%
Score Analysis
    Sharjah FC 58.54%
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 19.68%
    Draw 21.78%
Sharjah FCDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.63%
3-1 @ 6.43%
3-0 @ 6.23%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 3.12%
4-0 @ 3.03%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 58.54%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 5.13%
0-0 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-1 @ 5.28%
0-2 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 19.68%