AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
 

Istiqlol Dushanbe
4 - 1
Al-Hilal

Dzhalilov (39', 44'), Safarov (49', 53')
Dzhuraev (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gomis (24')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Hilal.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Hilal
33.87%27.51%38.62%
Both teams to score 49.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.46%56.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.47%77.53%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62%31.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25%67.75%
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56%28.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8%64.2%
Score Analysis
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 33.87%
    Al-Hilal 38.62%
    Draw 27.5%
Istiqlol DushanbeDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.74%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.22%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 7.05%
1-3 @ 3.43%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.62%