Shabab Al-Ahli
0 - 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe

Ahmed Hassan (37'), Abdalla Suhail (38'), Marzooq (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dzhalilov (90+6')
Dzhalilov (13'), Mishchenko (51'), Davronov (71'), Nazarov (88')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	Draw	Istiqlol Dushanbe
56.05%	23.48%	20.47%

Both teams to score 50.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88%

49.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81%

71.19%

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65%

17.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.27%

47.73%

Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.64%

38.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.88%

75.12%

Score Analysis

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 56.04%

Istiqlol Dushanbe 20.47%

Draw 23.47%

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	Draw	Istiqlol Dushanbe
1-0 @ 11.65% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.71% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.76% Total : 56.04%	1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.51% Total : 20.47%

Shabab Al-Ahli0 - 1Istiqlol Dushanbe

Data Analysis

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