Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for AMGK had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an AMGK win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai would win this match.