La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Feb 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Elche

Asensio (8'), Benzema (31' pen., 45+1' pen.), Modric (80')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Club World Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Elche 3-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 85.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 4.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 4-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Elche
85.93% ( 0.01)	9.76% ( -0.01)	4.31% ( -0)

Both teams to score 42.75% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.1% (

0.01)

28.9% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.14% (

0.01)

49.86% (

-0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.42% (

4.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.31% (

0.01)

18.69% (

-0.01)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.8% (

-0)

55.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12% (

-0)

88% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 85.92%

Elche 4.31%

Draw 9.76%

Real Madrid	Draw	Elche
3-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 12.01% 4-0 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.34% 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 5-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.66% 5-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 6-0 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% 6-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.68% 7-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 85.92%	1-1 @ 4.63% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 9.76%	0-1 @ 1.5% 1-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 4.31%