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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Elche

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Elche

Asensio (8'), Benzema (31' pen., 45+1' pen.), Modric (80')
Mariano (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Roco (30'), Gumbau (53'), Gonzalez (72')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Elche.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's La Liga clash with Elche at the Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga contest with Elche on Wednesday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Elche 3-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 4-0 Elche

Real Madrid look set to bounce back from their shock defeat to Mallorca with a resounding win against Elche, given that Machin's side have taken just nine points from a possible 60 this season. While Los Blancos have scored 40 league goals this term, Elche have conceded 40, meaning that the hosts should cruise to a high-scoring victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 85.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 4.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 4-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawElche
85.93% (0.0050000000000097 0.01) 9.76% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 4.31% (-0.0021000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 42.75% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.1% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)49.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)4.57% (-0.0020999999999995 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.69% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.8% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)55.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 85.92%
    Elche 4.31%
    Draw 9.76%
Real MadridDrawElche
3-0 @ 12.35%
2-0 @ 12.01%
4-0 @ 9.53% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.34%
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
5-0 @ 5.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 5.66%
5-1 @ 3.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.18%
6-1 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.68%
7-0 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 85.92%
1-1 @ 4.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-2 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 9.76%
0-1 @ 1.5%
1-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 4.31%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Elche

Real Madrid
88.7%
Draw
4.3%
Elche
7.0%
186
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Jan 23, 2022 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-2
Elche
Modric (82' pen.), Militao (90+2')
Militao (54'), Junior (72'), Alaba (90+5')
Boye (42'), Milla (76')
Fidel (55')
Jan 20, 2022 6pm
Round of 16
Elche
1-2
Real Madrid
Gonzalo (103')
Milla (87')
Milla (120+2')
Isco (108'), Hazard (115')
Kroos (78'), Casemiro (87'), Alaba (94')
Marcelo (102')
Oct 30, 2021 1pm
Elche
1-2
Real Madrid
Milla (86')
Guti (8')
Guti (63')
Junior (22', 73')
Mar 13, 2021 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-1
Elche
Benzema (73', 90+1')
Benzema (37')
Calvo (61')
Carrillo (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid17114237162137
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal157532725226
7Osasuna176742225-325
8Real Sociedad167361611524
9GironaGirona176472325-222
10Sevilla176471823-522
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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