La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 5, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid
2 - 1
Espanyol

Sanchez (25'), Aguado (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Braithwaite (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Valladolid
Sunday, February 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 25 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Espanyol
42.74% ( -0.32)	28.79% ( 0.05)	28.47% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 43.69% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.56% (

-0.08)

62.44% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.94% (

-0.05)

82.06% (

0.06)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

-0.21)

28.97% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

-0.27)

64.86% (

0.26)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

0.17)

38.5% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.76% (

0.17)

75.24% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 42.74%

Espanyol 28.46%

Draw 28.78%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Espanyol
1-0 @ 13.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.74%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.78%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.46%