Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 45.88% ( | 25.97% ( | 28.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( | 52.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( | 74.13% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( | 22.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.46% ( | 56.54% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( | 33.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( | 69.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.87% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 3-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.15% |