La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Celta Vigo3 - 0Valladolid
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Valladolid
This is a really difficult match to call, as there is not a lot between the two teams. The fact that four of their last five La Liga meetings have ended in draws is difficult to ignore, and we are finding it tough to back anything other than another stalemate in Sunday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Valladolid |
45.88% ( 1.35) | 25.97% ( -0.3) | 28.15% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
