Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 43.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
| 43.58% ( | 29.24% ( | 27.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.65% ( | 64.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.57% ( | 83.43% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.56% ( | 29.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.56% ( | 65.44% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.34% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.75% ( | 77.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 14.63% ( 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.42% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 11.96% ( 2-2 @ 3.62% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 2-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.3% Total : 27.17% |