We said: Espanyol 1-1 Mallorca
Mallorca's away form in recent weeks has been very disappointing, but Espanyol have the second-worst record in front of their own fans this season. Both sides will enter this match off the back of a win, but we are struggling to separate them and have therefore had to settle on a low-scoring draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 43.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.