Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 50.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
| 24.17% ( | 25.53% ( | 50.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( | 53.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( | 74.98% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( | 37.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26% ( | 74% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( | 54.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 2-0 @ 3.87% ( 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 3-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.17% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-2 @ 4.63% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0-2 @ 9.48% ( 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 50.29% |