Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
27.81% ( 1.33) | 28.31% ( 0.2) | 43.88% ( -1.53) |
Both teams to score 44.6% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.88% ( -0.03) | 61.12% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.91% ( -0.02) | 81.08% ( 0.02) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% ( 1.11) | 38.3% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( 1.05) | 75.05% ( -1.05) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% ( -0.81) | 27.71% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( -1.05) | 63.28% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.8% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 13.61% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.74% Total : 43.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |