Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 27.81% ( | 28.31% ( | 43.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.88% ( | 61.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.91% ( | 81.08% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.7% ( | 38.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.94% ( | 75.05% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( | 27.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( | 63.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-1 @ 6.27% ( 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 3-2 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.8% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.03% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 13.61% ( 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 43.87% |