Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 19.08% | 21.94% | 58.97% |
| Both teams to score 53.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% | 44.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% | 37.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% | 73.92% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% | 14.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.06% | 42.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-1 @ 5.14% 2-0 @ 2.68% 3-1 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.52% Total : 19.08% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.41% 1-3 @ 6.35% 2-3 @ 3.14% 0-4 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 3.04% 2-4 @ 1.51% 0-5 @ 1.18% 1-5 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.96% |