La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Jun 21, 2020 at 9pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Merino (83')
Zubeldia (16'), Gorosabel (28'), Llorente (48'), Merino (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramos (50' pen.), Benzema (70')
Casemiro (21'), Modric (90+6')
Casemiro (21'), Modric (90+6')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
26.82%	23.55%	49.63%

Both teams to score 58.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.99%

43.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.59%

65.41%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59%

29.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.6%

65.4%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55%

17.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.08%

47.92%

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 26.82%

Real Madrid 49.63%

Draw 23.54%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 6.71% 1-0 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.29% Total : 26.82%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 5.57% 0-3 @ 4.55% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.63%