La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Jun 18, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
2 - 0
Real Sociedad

Sainz (56'), Aguirregabiria (90+6')
Duarte (51'), Pina (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Llorente (42'), Elustondo (49'), Zaldua (54')
Zaldua (81')

The Match

Match Report

Alaves had lost to relegation-battling Espanyol in their first game back.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
28.74%	26.83%	44.43%

Both teams to score 49.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5%

55.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32%

76.68%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.5%

34.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.79%

71.21%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16%

24.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56%

59.44%

Score Analysis

Alaves 28.74%

Real Sociedad 44.43%

Draw 26.83%

Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.74%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.43%