Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
| 51.05% | 26.9% | 22.05% |
| Both teams to score 43.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.92% | 60.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.7% | 80.3% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% | 23.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% | 57.87% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.99% | 43.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.7% | 79.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 4.27% 4-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.41% Total : 51.04% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.06% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.03% Total : 22.05% |