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John Stones
5'
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Erling Braut Haaland
13'
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Erling Braut Haaland
25'
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Kelechi Iheanacho
75'
Manchester City vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.73%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 7.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Leicester City Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 9.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 8.14% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67%
4-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.06%
Total : 79.73%
2-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 12.33%
0-1 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 7.95%
Head to Head
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Kevin De Bruyne
5'
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Riyad Mahrez
14'
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Ilkay Gundogan
21'
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Raheem Sterling
25'
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Aymeric Laporte
69'
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Raheem Sterling
87'
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Fernandinho
90'+1'
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Jannik Vestergaard
45'
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James Maddison
55'
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Ademola Lookman
59'
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Kelechi Iheanacho
65'
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James Maddison
75'
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