Premier League Gameweek 34
Arsenal
May 2, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Martin Odegaard 18' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 31' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 34' goal
  • goal Noni Madueke 65'

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News
News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2023 8.00pm
Man City 4 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Gabriel Martinelli

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2023 7.45pm
Chelsea 0 - 2 Brentford
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Arsenal 64.21% ▲ (+0.56)
Draw 19.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Chelsea 16.37% ▼ (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.87% ▼ (-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.48% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 2.5 37.53% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 3.5 40.25% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 3.5 59.75% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 4.5 22.34% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 4.5 77.66% ▲ (+0.51)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 88.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 11.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 64.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 35.4% ▲ (+0.06)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 63.94% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 0.5 36.06% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 1.5 27.15% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 1.5 72.85% ▲ (+0.96)

Score analysis

Arsenal 64.21%
Draw 19.42%
Chelsea 16.37%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% ▲ (+0.26)
1-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 7.24%
3-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 64.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.42%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 16.37%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 15
Chelsea
Nov 6, 2022 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 63'
Club Friendlies 1
Arsenal
Jul 24, 2022 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Gabriel Jesus 15' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 36' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 61' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 66' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 78' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' goal
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 50'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 77'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 77'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 90'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Chelsea
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Timo Werner 17' goal
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 32' goal
  • Malang Sarr 65' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 84' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 13'
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 27'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 57'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Magalhaes 90'+1'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Arsenal
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Chelsea
  • Pablo Mari 34' yellowcard
  • Rob Holding 45' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 67' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 15'
  • goal Reece James 35'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Arsenal
Aug 1, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Granit Xhaka 69' goal
  • Nuno Tavares 86' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 26'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 42'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 54'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 72'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Chelsea
May 12, 2021 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Arsenal
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 16'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 90'+4'

Form Data

Man City 4 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 3 Southampton
West Ham 2 - 2 Arsenal
Liverpool 2 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 4 - 1 Leeds
Arsenal 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
Chelsea 0 - 2 Brentford
Chelsea 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Chelsea 1 - 2 Brighton
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Chelsea
Wolves 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 0 Liverpool

Build-up

Team News
News
News
News