Premier League Gameweek 35
Man City
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Leeds
  • Ilkay Gundogan 19' goal
  • Ilkay Gundogan 27' goal
  • goal Rodrigo 85'

Manchester City vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2023 8.00pm
Man City 3 - 0 West Ham
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Erling Braut Haaland

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
Bournemouth 4 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Rodrigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 4.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 4-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result

Manchester City 86.07%
Draw 9.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Leeds United 4.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 23.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 57.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 42.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 37.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 62.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 96.36%
Under 0.5 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 84.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 15.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 51.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 48.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 16.12%
Under 1.5 83.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Manchester City 86.06%
Draw 9.26%
Leeds United 4.67%
Manchester City
3-0 @ 10.78%
2-0 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 7.72%
2-1 @ 6.99%
4-1 @ 6.4%
5-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 4.24%
6-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.76%
6-1 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 2.29%
7-0 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.52%
7-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 86.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.5%
0-0 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 9.26%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 1.51%
0-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 4.67%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 17
Leeds
Dec 28, 2022 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Pascal Struijk 73' goal
  • goal Rodri 45'+1'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 51'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 64'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Leeds
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Junior Firpo 6' yellowcard
  • Jesse Marsch 67' yellowcard
  • goal Rodri 13'
  • yellowcard Jack Grealish 14'
  • goal Nathan Ake 54'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 68'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 78'
  • goal Fernandinho 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Man City
Dec 14, 2021 8.00pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Leeds
  • Phil Foden 8' goal
  • Jack Grealish 13' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 32' goal
  • Ruben Dias 40' yellowcard
  • Riyad Mahrez 49' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 62' goal
  • John Stones 74' goal
  • Nathan Ake 78' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 20'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Man City
Apr 10, 2021 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Leeds
  • Nathan Ake 35' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 76' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 83' yellowcard
  • Fernandinho 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Stuart Dallas 42'
  • redcard Liam Cooper 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 66'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Leeds
Oct 3, 2020 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road
Man City
  • Patrick Bamford 12' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo 59' goal
  • Stuart Dallas 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 17'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 36'
FA Cup
Man City
Feb 17, 2013 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Leeds
  • Yaya Toure 0' goal
  • Sergio Aguero 0' goal
  • Carlos Tevez 0' goal

Form Data

Man City 3 - 0 West Ham
Fulham 1 - 2 Man City
Man City 4 - 1 Arsenal
Man City 3 - 0 Sheff Utd
Bayern 1 - 1 Man City
Man City 3 - 1 Leicester
Bournemouth 4 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 1 Leicester
Fulham 2 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 6 Liverpool
Leeds 1 - 5 Crystal Palace
Leeds 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest

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