Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
3 - 0
West Ham

Ake (49'), Braut Haaland (70'), Foden (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring their second goal on May 3, 2023

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May 3, 23:11

Erling Braut Haaland breaks Premier League record for most goals in a season

Erling Braut Haaland breaks the all-time record for the most goals in a single Premier League season after scoring his 35th of the campaign in Manchester City's 3-0 win over West Ham United.

May 3, 21:45

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 1-2 Man City
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-3 West Ham
Saturday, April 29 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 5.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.37%) and 4-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.3%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	West Ham United
83.04% ( 2.74)	11.27% ( -1.64)	5.69% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.27% (

3.79)

29.73% (

-3.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.14% (

4.46)

50.86% (

-4.45)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.79% (

1.26)

5.21% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.38% (

3.55)

20.62% (

-3.54)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.21% (

-0.37)

50.79% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.8% (

-0.25)

85.2% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 83.03%

West Ham United 5.69%

Draw 11.27%

Manchester City	Draw	West Ham United
2-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.76) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.54) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -1.1) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.46) 5-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.78) 5-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.53) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.14) 6-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.35) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.16) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.28) Other @ 3.54% Total : 83.03%	1-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.81) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.61) Other @ 0.67% Total : 11.27%	1-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.69%