Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Gent had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.