Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 0-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Mechelen win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.