Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gent in this match.