Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%).