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UEFA Conference League

Gent
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ghelamco Arena
Qarabag

Gent
1 - 0
Qarabag

Orban (74')
FT
(aet)
Gent win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gent and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gent

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 2-0 Leuven
Sunday, February 19 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-0 Gent
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%).

Result
GentDrawQarabag FK
42.87% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.12% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.019999999999996 0.02)47.18% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.02 0.02)69.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72% (0.031000000000006 0.03)55.28% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06%27.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Gent 42.87%
    Qarabag FK 32%
    Draw 25.12%
GentDrawQarabag FK
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32%

How you voted: Gent vs Qarabag

Gent
52.2%
Draw
20.3%
Qarabag FK
27.5%
69
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Qarabag
1-0
Gent
Andrade (78')
Gugeshashvili (90+2'), Xhixha (90+6')

Torunarigha (51'), De Sart (71'), Marreh (90+3')