Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.