Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.