Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.