Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.