Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Stade du Pairay

RFC Seraing
1 - 2
Sint-Truiden

Goncalves (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayashi (77'), Bruno (79')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between RFC Seraing and Sint-Truiden.

Form, Standings, Stats

RFC Seraing

All competitions
Last Game: RFC Seraing 1-2 Union SG
Sunday, October 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Sint-Truiden

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 2-3 Sint-Truiden
Saturday, October 29 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.

Result
RFC SeraingDrawSint-Truiden
27.33% (0.619 0.62)26.99% (0.39 0.39)45.68% (-1.011 -1.01)
Both teams to score 47.89% (-0.669 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (-1.084 -1.08)56.79% (1.082 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.27% (-0.877 -0.88)77.73% (0.875 0.88)
RFC Seraing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)36.32% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.9% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)73.1% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Sint-Truiden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (-0.962 -0.96)24.81% (0.96 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61% (-1.36 -1.36)59.39% (1.359 1.36)
Score Analysis
    RFC Seraing 27.33%
    Sint-Truiden 45.68%
    Draw 26.99%
RFC SeraingDrawSint-Truiden
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.353 0.35)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.62% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.18% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.56% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.33%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.367 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 12.56% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 8.76% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.07% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.68%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Sint-Truiden
3-1
RFC Seraing
Hayashi (40'), Bruls (78' pen.), Hara (90+4')
Pius (33'), Bauer (90+2')
Nadrani (44')
Mikautadze (47'), Sambu (76')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
RFC Seraing
2-0
Sint-Truiden
Jallow (5'), Mikautadze (57')