Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 9.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.89%) and 0-3 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 1-0 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.