Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.