Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 70.74%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for KV Oostende had a probability of 11.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a KV Oostende win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.