Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.