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UEFA Conference League

Qarabag
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
 
Gent

Qarabag
1 - 0
Gent

Andrade (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Qarabag FK and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

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Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Freiburg
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Gent

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Westerlo 3-3 Gent
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Gent had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawGent
52.48% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)23.29% (0.033000000000001 0.03)24.23% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.88% (-0.116 -0.12)44.12% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.5% (-0.111 -0.11)66.5% (0.107 0.11)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)16.81% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (-0.129 -0.13)46.79% (0.125 0.13)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.05% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.026 -0.03)68.52% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 52.48%
    Gent 24.23%
    Draw 23.29%
Qarabag FKDrawGent
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 52.48%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.13% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.23%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Gent

Qarabag FK
53.8%
Draw
14.5%
Gent
31.6%
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