Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Gent had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.8%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Gent win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.