Gent
Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Ghelamco Arena
Molde logo

Gent
4 - 0
Molde

Hjulsager (52'), Godeau (62'), Kums (80'), Cuypers (89' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gent and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leuven 1-1 Gent
Sunday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Viking FK 1-4 Molde
Sunday, October 30 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Gent had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.8%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Gent win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
GentDrawMolde
32.46% (-0.146 -0.15)20.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)46.98% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 73.51% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.23% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)24.77% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.38% (-0.116 -0.12)44.61% (0.121 0.12)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.14% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)16.86% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.12% (-0.198 -0.2)46.87% (0.204 0.2)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.012999999999991 0.01)11.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.55% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gent 32.46%
    Molde 46.98%
    Draw 20.57%
GentDrawMolde
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.27% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.48% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 32.46%
1-1 @ 7.5% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 3.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.8% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 5.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.13% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.78%
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.35% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 46.98%

How you voted: Gent vs Molde

Gent
56.3%
Draw
21.1%
Molde
22.5%
71
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 8pm