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UEFA Conference League

Ludogorets
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ludogorets Arena
Anderlecht

Ludogorets
1 - 0
Anderlecht

Thiago (9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Anderlecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Roma 3-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
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Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Anderlecht 3-1 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, February 12 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawAnderlecht
34.05% (-0.052 -0.05)27.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)38.93% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)54.59% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)75.93% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)30.28% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)66.45% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)27.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)62.79% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 34.05%
    Anderlecht 38.92%
    Draw 27.01%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawAnderlecht
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 34.05%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 38.92%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Anderlecht

Ludogorets Razgrad
39.0%
Draw
22.0%
Anderlecht
39.0%
82