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Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
London Stadium
Anderlecht

West Ham
2 - 1
Anderlecht

Benrahma (14'), Bowen (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Esposito (89' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between West Ham United and Anderlecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Fulham
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Premier League

Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Mechelen 1-3 Anderlecht
Sunday, October 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAnderlecht
50.22% (0.047999999999995 0.05)23.99% (0.010999999999999 0.01)25.78% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.8% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.17% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)45.83% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)68.15% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)18.3% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)31.7% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (-0.115 -0.12)68.12% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 50.23%
    Anderlecht 25.78%
    Draw 23.99%
West Ham UnitedDrawAnderlecht
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.74% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 50.23%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.67% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 25.78%

How you voted: West Ham vs Anderlecht

West Ham United
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Anderlecht
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
Group B
Anderlecht
0-1
West Ham
Scamacca (79')
Lanzini (67')