Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.